Search found 11469 matches

by Ddrak
Thu May 28, 2020 6:16 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

UNICEF is correct - lockdowns in developing countries are a very different equation to first world nations. And yet, vaccinations are down dramatically in NY: https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2020/05/20/vaccinations-plunge-for-new-york-city-children-during-coronavirus-pandemic-...
by Ddrak
Tue May 19, 2020 5:54 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

Powerful video.....hard to watch: https://www.10tv.com/article/ohio-state-alum-shares-story-childs-suicide-tells-parents-covid-19-isolation-real-2020-may Can understand how that can happen, and social distancing/stay-at-home orders are definitely a trade off. My 11 year old is climbing the walls an...
by Ddrak
Mon May 18, 2020 6:18 am
Forum: Politics and Law
Topic: Is Julian Assange Being Falsly Imprissoned?
Replies: 6
Views: 855

Re: Is Julian Assange Being Falsly Imprissoned?

Strongly disagree. Assange did some dodgy dealing with a couple of women in Sweden. May have been criminal (in Sweden), may not. They issued an arrest warrant, but never charged him because they never got him in custody - he fled to the Ecuadorian embassy rather than face prosecution. Sweden has sig...
by Ddrak
Mon May 18, 2020 6:02 am
Forum: General
Topic: Just saying hi
Replies: 1
Views: 140

Re: Just saying hi

Doing well here. Hey Cetra!

Dd
by Ddrak
Mon May 18, 2020 6:02 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

UNICEF is correct - lockdowns in developing countries are a very different equation to first world nations. They make a good deal of sense if your base disease rate is low, but where it's not then you've got a much worse balancing act. The second article is the whole premise behind lockdowns in firs...
by Ddrak
Wed May 13, 2020 6:04 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

Are you suggesting that COVID-19 is going to kill half of all life in the universe? Nope, but the argument I'm hearing is that the economic benefits of letting a bunch of people die is a good outcome. That's basically Thanos' pitch even though he was a little more extreme and efficient. And that le...
by Ddrak
Wed May 13, 2020 5:58 am
Forum: Politics and Law
Topic: Is Julian Assange Being Falsly Imprissoned?
Replies: 6
Views: 855

Re: Is Julian Assange Being Falsly Imprissoned?

Umm... Assange is being extradited for assisting Chelsea Manning in exfiltrating embassy cables (ie providing technical assistance, not just being a recipient of the information). The charges have nothing to do with the DNC hack.

Right now he's in prison for breaking bail.

Dd
by Ddrak
Sun May 10, 2020 6:51 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

Some news orgs are worse than others, and Veritas is about as straight as Moore. :) 7 day average on new deaths is flat for FL (and the US as a whole for that matter), which means the virus is currently spreading about as fast as people are recovering/dying. That is almost by definition the wrong ti...
by Ddrak
Thu May 07, 2020 7:25 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

I think there's a lot of wishful thinking in those reports: Focusing on aged care to the exclusion of all else is a false hope. Yes - more screening is good, but you lock down "perfectly healthy people" because you don't want all of them infected either, leaving it impossible to protect your vulnera...
by Ddrak
Sun Apr 26, 2020 9:12 pm
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

If it's any consolation, summer didn't seem to make any difference here in Oz. I wouldn't get too excited about summer changing things in the US, except maybe reducing the number of Flu strains flying around.

Dd
by Ddrak
Thu Apr 23, 2020 4:56 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

Herd immunity for R0 of 2.5-ish requires around 65% of the population (1/(R0 - 1)) to have recovered, and with recovery time approximately equal to death time you'd have noticed the sharp spike in fatalities to be anywhere near that level. I think the western states got spooked earlier and did the s...
by Ddrak
Mon Apr 20, 2020 5:42 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

To be honest, I don't know enough to say whether it's a good or bad idea to open the states that have yet to be hit hard. It feels like it's just going to put them on an exponential curve again while there's (apparently) so many undiagnosed cases out there, but if they are prepared to close down har...
by Ddrak
Sat Apr 18, 2020 5:15 pm
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

Lots of points to cover! :) On the origin - the CDC idea may have some merit, but that's not the one playing in the conspiracy circles (including Trump/Pompeo et. al.) at the moment - they are going after the WIV BSL-4 labs which are across town, and fairly unlikely to have been the source, especial...
by Ddrak
Thu Apr 16, 2020 5:51 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

If the US has one advantage, it is the size of the country. Our population density is much lower than China and India. The numbers eventually coming out of India have the potential to be truly dreadful in scope. China probably already has over 50k deaths but is simply not reporting. Leaks getting o...
by Ddrak
Wed Apr 15, 2020 6:32 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

The US is the third most populated country in the world and we rank #1 for total tests performed at almost 3 million. I think the problem is attributing COVID-19 as the cause of death at a higher rate than other countries do. There is a big money grab going on in the US right now. I don't see much ...
by Ddrak
Mon Apr 13, 2020 5:14 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

The problem I have is that if you die for any reason, and test positive for COVID-19 at autopsy, you died from COVID-19. Also, the statistics being tracked are great at accounting for positive tests, and "deaths" from COVID-19, but they SUCK at tracking recovery because a LOT of people have been ex...
by Ddrak
Tue Apr 07, 2020 5:53 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

For what it's worth, our government has been pitching "this will last at least 6 months, so create a sustainable plan" from day 1. It's pretty horrific economically, but basically they are paying a universal income until we can fire up again.
by Ddrak
Tue Apr 07, 2020 5:51 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

For reference, in the US Civil War we lost 520 people per day for 4 years accounting for 750,000 dead, 2.4% of the entire US population and never shut down a thing. Because if you don't shut down then you lose around the same (percentage-wise), which is much more expensive these days, and people ha...
by Ddrak
Mon Mar 30, 2020 5:38 am
Forum: General
Topic: Da Corona
Replies: 58
Views: 8065

Re: Da Corona

Doing ok in Oz. Still at work, which is a lot better off than many. Restrictions are really starting to ramp up - maximum of 2 people indoors/outdoors (family excluded), most states have effectively closed borders, retail is basically shut down nationwide. Lots of "interesting" panic buying.

Dd
by Ddrak
Wed Mar 25, 2020 5:58 am
Forum: Politics and Law
Topic: Member when....
Replies: 5
Views: 10156

Re: Member when....

That's pretty much why I think a robust debate would cover it. If Biden truly has Alzheimer's then evening debates will be completely disastrous for him. If he's snappy, to the point and not repeating himself inappropriately then it's hard to argue mental failing.